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Glyphosate in a serious excess capacity, anti-dumping proposals, the abolition of export tax rebates, energy-saving emission reduction, export blocked, 10% water agent in the domestic limit and other factors under the influence of many factors, such as the impact of 2010. Driven by the price of raw materials, out of the situation of two high middle and low market; last year the annual TC export 24 million tons or so, with slightly decreased. According to the main production enterprises to provide data, in 2010 the output was reduced by about 10%, production of about 300 thousand tons. Insiders said that due to the current domestic glyphosate serious excess capacity, product price remains in the doldrums, go back to before the financial crisis the price of feasibility of smaller, part of the production unit will remain for a long time in production and semi production status, product profit still meager.
Production export is expected to be high
The domestic market from the point of view, this year the state attaches great importance to the improvement of crop planting area and yield, at the start of 2011, our country agricultural product prices rose significantly, planting area of GM crops will continue to increase, these good will to China this year glyphosate production and consumption support.
About 80% of China's Glyphosate for export from the United States, the euro area and Japan, global economic recession haze gradually dispersed, world crude oil prices appear strong rebound; America GM crops have a restorative growth; in the fourth quarter of last year rose global prices of agricultural products significantly; foreign no recent reported glyphosate expansion and new device. The above factors will increase the export volume. In the domestic and foreign good factors common role, is expected to this year China's glyphosate production and export is expected to hit a new high, the technical exports may more than 26 million tons.
The price is not low, but it is not easy to earn
Analysts believe that the based raw material prices rose and device operating costs increased by multiple factors such as superposition, in 2011 China's Glyphosate prices will remain at a relatively high level, but prices rose mainly because raw material prices and other factors conduction caused by, oversupply situation temporarily difficult to change, product profit still meager. The main reasons are the following:
One is the 2011 expected inflation pressure, oil and coal prices will be high, and glyphosate is the main production method is glycine and iminodiacetic acid (IDA) method, starting materials are coal and oil or natural gas; second is the national energy-saving emission reduction task is still stern, energy hungry chlor alkali plant operation cost increasing will to glyphosate conduction; the third is 10% of the agent to withdraw from the market, before production wastewater can reprocessing to 10% of the agent in the market sales, and now waste to be disposed of, virtually increased the burden on enterprises. In addition, wages and other costs will also increase.
To earn money by making a fist.
Although a period of time in the future, domestic glyphosate production and market prospect of better, output and export volume is expected to hit a new high, prices will remain relatively high, but not sure factors still exist, such as glyphosate resistant weeds repeatedly see report may hinder the development of the market; the RMB exchange rate fluctuations glyphosate export profits; trade friction may arise, to the production and export of domestic glyphosate bring pressure; environmental tax and resource tax when the levy will also in a certain extent influence glyphosate production cost and the international competitiveness of products. For a long period of time, the domestic glyphosate industry will be in pressure and integration in the forward.